Geothermal
Induced Seismicity Risk in Enhanced Geothermal Systems
University of Cape Town
Posted June 9, 2026
This is a non-peer-reviewed preprint. It has not been certified by peer review. Evaluate its claims critically.
Abstract
We develop a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical framework to forecast induced seismicity during stimulation of enhanced geothermal systems. Calibrated against two field projects, the model reproduces observed magnitude distributions and supports a traffic-light operational protocol that reduces peak magnitudes without major loss of injectivity.
geothermalinduced seismicityEGSreservoir
Manuscript
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